The Dhow: A Weekly Newsletter from AGSIW 

Upcoming Events
TrumpGulf Dynamics after the JCPOA

DATE May 16, 2018
TIME 12:30 - 2:00 pm
LOCATION AGSIW
SPEAKERS Abdulkhaleq Abdulla, Thomas Pickering
MODERATOR Stephen A. Seche

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Israel SyriaShake-Up in the Middle East: How Will Regional Powers Respond?

DATE May 23, 2018
TIME 12:30 - 2:00 pm
LOCATION AGSIW
SPEAKERS F. Gregory Gause, III, Feisal Rasoul Amin al-Istrabadi, Gonul Tol
MODERATOR Hussein Ibish

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The Bridge blog

By Hussein Ibish

President Donald J. Trump’s announcement that the United States is “withdrawing” from the Iran nuclear deal, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, was greeted with considerable enthusiasm by many Gulf Arab leaders. The announcement offers the prospect of a new era of U.S. leadership aimed squarely at rolling back Iranian hegemony in the region, and possibly even a campaign of regime change in Tehran. 
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By Diane Munro

President Donald J. Trump's decision to exit the Iran nuclear deal and reimpose sanctions has injected a much higher level of volatility into oil markets, with prices scaling new heights to levels not seen since 2014. In reality, the disruption to Iranian exports and oil trading flows will be relatively limited, but against a backdrop of stronger global oil demand, declining stock levels, and the upcoming peak summer driving and cooling season, markets are unnerved. 
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AGSIW in Arabic

بعد أشهر من التهديدات والتكهنات نفذ الرئيس دونالد ترامب الوعد الذي قطعه لمؤيديه خلال حملته الانتخابية بالانسحاب من الاتفاق النووي مع إيران، وهو أبرز وربما أخطر قرار يتخذه في مجال السياسة الخارجية لأن تبعاته ستؤثر على علاقات واشنطن بأبرز حلفائها في أوروبا، فرنسا وبريطانيا وألمانيا، وعلى السياسة الأمريكية في الشرق الأوسط في الوقت الذي تمر فيه المنطقة في مرحلة متوترة للغاية، وعلى خلفية التكهنات بأن الاشتباكات الأخيرة في مسرح القتال في سوريا بين إسرائيل وإيران قد تؤدي إلى حرب إقليمية يمكن أن تنزلق إليها الولايات المتحدة
اطلع على المزيد

In addition to original content, AGSIW.org in Arabic is regularly updated with new Arabic translations of AGSIW's analysis. Recent translations include:
Past Event
 
Gulf cities have become destinations for artists throughout the region, attracting them with their dynamism and energy. Museums, galleries, and artist enclaves impact neighborhoods and the urban environment more broadly. The role of public art in enriching the lives of citizens figures prominently in an ongoing discussion among artists, urban planners, and officials in Gulf cities.
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Commentary

By Hussein Ibish

After the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal and the military flare-up between Iran and Israel along the Syrian border, national elections in Iraq this weekend will be a crucial test of Iran’s regional influence. But the election will also unfold under the largely unrecognized but ominous shadow of one of the worst electoral court rulings anywhere in recent history. Iraq’s electoral law is a complex and idiosyncratic method of securing proportional representation in Parliament.The system tends to favor the largest parties and solid voting blocs using a process so arcane that virtually no one outside of professional politicians and statisticians really understands how it works.
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In the Media
Kristin Smith DiwanSpeaking with The Daily Star Opinion, Senior Resident Scholar Kristin Smith Diwan commented on the Saudi government's outreach to Shia citizens.

For The National, Senior Resident Scholar Hussein Ibish discussed Russia's rising influence in the Middle East.
Outreach
Hussein IbishBoard Member Bernard Haykel and Senior Resident Scholar Hussein Ibish offered their perspectives on the key findings of the ASDA'A Burson-Marsteller Arab Youth Survey 2018.

Ibish also spoke about the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal and the current dynamics of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.
Opportunities

Department/Team: Senior Resident Scholars
Period: Part Time (20-25 hours/week, no benefits)
Location: Washington, DC

About the Candidate: Provide research assistance and support to senior resident scholars at AGSIW. At the direction of the scholars, conduct research on Gulf political economy, foreign policy, business politics, finance, macroeconomics, and U.S. policy toward the region. Monitor contemporary developments in the Gulf states and U.S. policy, including reviews of regional and international media. Source data, compile bibliographies, literature reviews, and write briefs on relevant topics. Create charts and graphics for AGSIW publications. Provide communications and logistical support to senior resident scholars, and perform additional tasks as requested.

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