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The Dhow
January 13, 2020
Oman's new sultan, Haitham bin Tariq al-Said, takes part in a cannon-firing salute ceremony outside the Royal Family Council in Muscat, Oman, Jan. 11. (Oman TV via AP)
Oman TV via AP
Robert Mogielnicki

Oman’s political transition presents the new sultan and his government with a choice to maintain the status quo of economic policy or undertake a deeper, structural transformation of the energy-dependent economy.
Hussein Ibish

GCC states all oppose any escalation with Iran, but it remains unclear if that will help heal other rifts.
Robert Mogielnicki

Despite a subdued response by global and Gulf markets, the state of U.S.-Iranian relations poses long-term risks to Gulf Arab economies.
DB Des Roches | اقرأ بالعربية

The United States does not have attractive options as far as its military presence in Iraq, but it has workable ones to achieve its strategic and security goals.
Hussein Ibish via The National

Donald Trump, as well as both the country's major political parties, seem torn between internationalism and isolationism.
Robert Mogielnicki via The Banker

Stagflation and high unemployment have led Iran to raise fuel prices – resulting in violent protests. But while U.S. sanctions are not helping, Iran must tackle serious economic reforms.
Mohammad Al Yousef for Millennial Gulf

With the Cultural Majlis, Sultan Sooud Al Qassemi aims to bring together the Middle East and North Africa community within U.S. campuses and establish an inclusive dialogue connecting people, ideas, and cultures.
A man waves the Iraqi flag while Iraqi soldiers are deployed in front of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, Jan. 1. (AP Photo/Nasser Nasser)
AP Photo/Nasser Nasser
Upcoming Event
Strategic Implications of Iraq's Multiple Crises
Thursday January 23 | 12:30 – 2:00 pm

Join AGSIW for a panel discussion with Ambassador Feisal Amin Rasoul al-Istrabadi, Ambassador Douglas A. Silliman, and Randa Slim examining the recent crises in Iraq and the fallout from the U.S. airstrike that killed Iran’s Quds Force commander Major General Qassim Suleimani. Hussein Ibish will moderate the discussion.
AGSIW in Arabic
  ما من خيارات جذابة أمام الولايات المتحدة في ما يتعلق بوجودها العسكري في العراق، لكن أمامها خيارات أخرى عملية قابلة للتطبيق من أجل تحقيق أهدافها الاستراتيجية والأمنية
  فيما تفكّر إيران بردّها على مقتل اللواء قاسم سليماني، ستنظر على الأرجح في ردٍّ غير متماثل مستخدمةً مواردها في المنطقة، على غرار المتمردين الحوثيين في اليمن
  في ظل قيادة العميد إسماعيل قاآني، من المرجح أن يشهد فيلق القدس استمرارية أكبر مما سيشهد تغييرًا.
In the Media
  • Bloomberg: Kristin Smith Diwan addressed Oman’s leadership transition after the death of Sultan Qaboos bin Said. Diwan additionally noted challenges for the new sultan for Gulf Business.
  • MSBNC: Ambassador Douglas A. Silliman discussed the Trump administration’s new sanctions on Iran. Silliman additionally spoke with NPR about the Iranian attacks on U.S. military bases in Iraq, as well as Al-Iraqiyya TV and Kurdistan 24.
  • Sky News: Ambassador Stephen A. Seche addressed U.S.-Iranian tensions and what to expect going forward.
  • BBC: Ali Alfoneh, on “The Briefing Room,” discussed the next steps for the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps after the killing of Quds Force commander Major General Qassim Suleimani. Additionally, BBC referenced and quoted AGSIW's piece “Who is the New Chief Commander of Iran’s Quds Force?” by Alfoneh.
  • Yahoo Finance: Hussein Ibish discussed U.S. President Donald J. Trump’s response to Iranian attacks on military bases housing U.S. forces in Iraq.
  • The New York Times: Alfoneh commented on the potential for a negotiated solution to ease tensions between the United States and Iran.
  • The Wall Street Journal: Alfoneh discussed Suleimani’s legacy during the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War.
  • Politico: Diwan commented on the response of U.S. allies in the Gulf toward U.S.-Iranian tensions.
  • AFP: Seche and Ibish commented on the regional implications of U.S. tensions with Iran.
  • Foreign Policy: Ibish addressed protests in Iran and the potential for regime change.
  • Time: Alfoneh addressed the Iranian attacks on military bases housing U.S. forces in Iraq and the potential for de-escalation.
  • Al Jazeera: Ibish commented on the impact of sanctions on the Iranian economy.
  • Nikkei Asian Review: Robert Mogielnicki commented on the view of investors in the Gulf Arab states toward cryptocurrencies as a safe-haven asset amid regional tensions.
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The Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington
1050 Connecticut Ave NW, Suite 1060
Washington, DC 20036