Monetary Policy

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Transitioning to Countercyclical Fiscal Policy in the Gulf

Given the volatility of hydrocarbon prices and other external shocks, Gulf Arab states can benefit from adopting countercyclical fiscal policies – a bold, but necessary, shift that will limit fallback during economic downturns.

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Oman Gets Economic Policymaking Right – For Now

The Omani government deserves credit for sound economic policymaking and reform progress, but the longer-term outlook for the economy remains uncertain.

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Rethinking the Currency Peg in the Gulf Arab States

With the fluctuations of oil and gas prices creating shocks to their economies, Gulf states may want to rethink the peg to the U.S. dollar.

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Why is GCC Inflation So Low?

Consumer prices have risen much less in the Gulf states than in the United Kingdom and United States largely because of the idiosyncrasies of GCC economies.

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For UAE Economic Planning, Timing is Everything

The UAE’s push to reinvigorate its economy, in this manner and at this time, is linked to Expo 2020 Dubai, regional competition, and a broader realignment of Emirati foreign policy to better serve economic interests.

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2021 Budgets Indicate Tough Economic Times Ahead

Mostly smaller budgets and conservative oil price assumptions signal the start of another challenging economic year for the Gulf region.

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Debt Maturities Loom As Gulf States Sell More Bonds

Regional policymakers must grapple with how the political and economic systems that they plan to sustain with today’s debt can meet tomorrow’s obligations.

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Is This Time Different? The Gulf’s Early Economic Policy Response to the Crises of 2020

As Gulf Arab policymakers continue to confront an ambiguous future, they will rely heavily on familiar economic policy measures and avoid straying from the status quo as long as possible.

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The Yemeni E-rial: A Digital Projection of Monetary Authority

The Houthis are unlikely to find immediate solutions in their nascent electronic currency, but this financial technology nevertheless serves a political purpose for the rebel group.

Iran's Lessons Learned From Direct Confrontation With Israel

Iran's recent experiences may bolster the influence of factions within the regime advocating for a shift in Iran's nuclear strategy.

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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.

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