2020 Outlook: What AGSIW Will Be Tracking This Year
AGSIW experts explain what regional trends they’ll be following most closely as the year unfolds.
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Oman’s New Sultan Unlikely to Pursue Qaboos’ Monopoly of Power
Sultan Haitham will need to balance powerful interests while engaging all parties, especially as he tackles economic policy.
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The Yemeni E-rial: A Digital Projection of Monetary Authority
The Houthis are unlikely to find immediate solutions in their nascent electronic currency, but this financial technology nevertheless serves a political purpose for the rebel group.
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A New Year in Saudi Mining
The Saudi mining industry starts 2020 with a slimmer regulatory agency, new management, and prospects that appear more favorable than many other Vision 2030 programs.
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U.S.-Iranian Tensions: Gulf Economic Implications
Robert Mogielnicki assesses the potential economic implications of tensions between the United States and Iran across the Gulf.
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Protracted Negotiations Yield Solution to Saudi-Kuwaiti Neutral Zone Dispute
The end of the dispute will add little or no oil output immediately, but it does restore some spare capacity, and resolves one of the breaches in the Gulf Cooperation Council.
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Qaboos Successor Must Focus on Economic Prioritization
Oman’s political transition presents the new sultan and his government with a choice to maintain the status quo of economic policy or undertake a deeper, structural transformation of the energy-dependent economy.
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U.S.-Iranian Tensions Offer Stress Test for Gulf Arab Economies
Despite a subdued response by global and Gulf markets, the state of U.S.-Iranian relations poses long-term risks to Gulf Arab economies.
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Natural Gas in Oman: Too Much of a Good Thing?
Oman has had notable success with its Khazzan gas field, but the sultanate will need to manage its domestic gas consumption and sign favorable long-term supply contracts to continue to benefit from LNG exports.
The Fractured Bureaucracy Behind Tehran’s Response to November Protests
Iran's supreme leader demanded the establishment of a "war room" to safeguard the regime against economic pressure from the United States. This left politicians and bureaucracies engaged in a blame game as the Islamic Republic faced mass protest.
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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.
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