Politics and Governance

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Iran’s Imperial Overreach

As anti-government protests spread like wildfire threatening the Islamic Republic’s allies and proxies, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei faces a dilemma: use Iran’s scarce resources to stabilize regional protests or leave them to their own devices and risk a fight with the IRGC.

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Saudi-Brokered Deal Defuses Tensions in Yemen’s South, but Security Challenges Linger

The Saudi-brokered bargain, referred to as the Riyadh agreement, is a significant breakthrough that, if successful, will prevent the fragmentation of the country and avert a new civil war.

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Bahrain’s Royal Family Adjusts for the Future

The recent elevation of Bahrain’s young prince, Nasser bin Hamad al-Khalifa, to national security advisor is the latest indication of maneuvers to secure the future hierarchy of the monarchy.

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Putin’s Visit to the Gulf Puts Growing Russian Influence on Display

The pageantry that greeted Russian President Vladimir Putin in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates reflects the “quantum leap” in relations since his last state visit.

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The Saudi Attacks and U.S. Engagement in the Region

AGSIW Board Members F. Gregory Gause, III and Bernard Haykel discuss the September 14 attacks on Saudi oil facilities and the future of U.S. engagement in the Middle East.

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Can a 19th Century Maritime Truce Help Ease 21st Century Tensions in the Gulf?

The 1835 Maritime Truce between the tribal chiefs of the southern Gulf littoral could provide a model for reducing conflict and establishing a more secure Gulf.

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With Heightened Tensions in the Gulf, Iran Seeks Its Own Partners

Announcing planned naval exercises with Russia and China, Tehran is demonstrating that it is cautiously choosing its actions in its ongoing feud with Washington and Riyadh.

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Saudi Ambition Confronts New Vulnerability

Saudi Vision 2030 champions national pride and a new economy of tourism and technology. But a direct hit on the kingdom’s central oil processing plant at Abqaiq ruthlessly reveals: As yet, the kingdom’s future still depends on allies, and oil.

The European Response to the Saudi Attacks: A Careful Balancing Act

A joint statement issued by France, Germany, and the United Kingdom demonstrates the European commitment to the JCPOA and diplomacy with Iran.

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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.

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