AGSIW Outlook 2021
AGSIW experts explain what regional trends they’ll be following most closely as the year unfolds.
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Prospects for Biden Administration Arms Sales to the Gulf: Revolution or Reversion to Norm?
Biden will likely put weapons sales to the Gulf on the back burner, but, at the end of the day, the administration’s positions on arms sales will reflect continuity, not change.
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Gulf Reconciliation Offers Uneven Economic Gains
Economic gains associated with the Gulf reconciliation will be narrow and limited, and any economic momentum should be channeled to tackle longer-term challenges in the region.
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With New Gulf Agreement, Will Qatar Change?
Why has Qatar so doggedly pursued policies that so often have such adverse repercussions on its relations with its closest neighbors?
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Pressure Builds on Gulf Countries To Take Climate Action
In 2020, the coronavirus pandemic dealt a significant blow to global climate diplomacy, but the strengthening of a number of trends might signal more momentous changes to come.
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Qatar Boycott Ends, But Core Issues Remain Unresolved
Almost all sides are winners for now, but a third GCC confrontation remains possible.
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Strategic Interests Drive Gulf Policy Toward Syria
Many Gulf states have shifted course on Syria, prioritizing concerns over growing Iranian and Turkish influence.
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Popular Omani Novel Joins Others Exploring Gulf States’ Shift to Modernity
In the year that saw the passing of Sultan Qaboos bin Said, an award-winning Omani novel catches fire in book clubs as it explores the tensions and hopes beneath the surface of the extraordinary changes that the sultan brought to the country.
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Beijing Signals Growing Interest in Regional Conflict Management
China seeks to promote a harmonious relationship among its strategic partners in the Gulf in support of its economic interests.
Saudi Arabia Champions “Moderate Islam,” Underpinning Reform Efforts
Moderate Islam can be seen as a comprehensive strategy to tackle the kingdom’s regional and domestic concerns while at the same time reshaping the religious and social scene in line with the leadership’s new sociopolitical objectives.
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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.
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