Security

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Prospects for Biden Administration Arms Sales to the Gulf: Revolution or Reversion to Norm?

Biden will likely put weapons sales to the Gulf on the back burner, but, at the end of the day, the administration’s positions on arms sales will reflect continuity, not change.

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With New Gulf Agreement, Will Qatar Change?

Why has Qatar so doggedly pursued policies that so often have such adverse repercussions on its relations with its closest neighbors?

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Strategic Interests Drive Gulf Policy Toward Syria

Many Gulf states have shifted course on Syria, prioritizing concerns over growing Iranian and Turkish influence.

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U.S. Political Transition Weighs Heavily on Yemen Peace Process

Critics worry that the Trump administration’s threat to designate the Houthis as terrorists would also undermine humanitarian efforts, while President-elect Biden is expected to return to more robust diplomacy.

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External Forces Hold the Key to Libya’s Cease-Fire

There is renewed momentum to resolve Libya’s conflict, but will foreign powers, like the UAE, Turkey, and Russia, abide by the terms of the new cease-fire agreement?

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Redefining Gulf Security Begins by Including the Human Dimension

The coronavirus pandemic has come as a reminder of the urgent need for a renewed approach to security that no longer focuses merely on the political and military aspects of security but includes a broader look at people-centered dimensions.

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What the F-35 Deal Says About U.S.-UAE Relations

The fast tracking of the F-35 sale to the UAE raises questions regarding the incentives motivating all actors involved in the deal.

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Iran’s Post-Sanctions Weapon Purchases: Ambition Collides With Reality

Iran will do as it always has – seek to quietly develop asymmetric capabilities, ideally built domestically, and only purchase the few items that it cannot make hoping to counter key U.S. military capabilities.

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After the Embargo: Iran’s Weapons Agenda

The lifting of the arms embargo is not likely to result in an Iranian buying spree. But, the Islamic Republic’s arms exports in the post-embargo era may prove as significant as its potential procurements.

Nuclear Power in the Middle East: The Politics of Stakeholder Coalitions

The creation and management of domestic and external stakeholder coalitions is intrinsic to a sustained commitment to nuclear energy in the UAE.

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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.

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