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The Dhow
February 5, 2024
Miriam Alster/Pool Photo via AP, File
Upcoming Event
How Should the U.S. Respond to a Middle East Crisis Threatening Its Policy and Personnel?
Tuesday February 6 | 10:00 - 11:30 am ET | Online
Register

On February 6, AGSIW will host a panel discussion with Thomas L. FriedmanAmbassdor Frank G. Wisner, and Robin Wright, moderated by Hussein Ibish, on U.S. policy in the Middle East.
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
Publications
The Inner Logic and Outer Limits of Post-Gaza Normalization
Ambassador William Roebuck

The underlying logic of normalizing ties with Israel remains intact for Gulf states. However, public anger, increased focus on the Palestinian issue, and the rising diplomatic price for Israel will impact the future of normalization.
Four Indicators to Track Saudi Reform Progress
Tim Callen اقرأ بالعربية

Positive developments in four indicators during 2024 – the female labor force participation rate, tourist arrivals, foreign direct investment inflows, and student educational attainment – will give confidence that the bold diversification plans underway in Saudi Arabia are on track.
What Do Recent Fatalities Reveal About the Quds Force and IRGC?
Ali Alfoneh

Targeted assassinations of skilled engineers, seasoned commanders, and intelligence operatives are no doubt taking a toll on the IRGC and the Quds Force but not enough for Iran to reconsider its attempt at containing the perceived threat from Israel.
Iran Leadership Succession: Former President Rouhani Disqualified
Ali Alfoneh

While no immediate threat to the Islamic Republic’s survival, the gradual shrinking of the ruling elites presents a long-term threat to the regime in Iran.
UAE: Norway’s Lessons for Economic Development and Sustainability
Kristian Alexander

While Singapore has traditionally been seen as a model for the United Arab Emirates, Norway, with its unique approach to economic management and environmental sustainability, is increasingly cited as an inspiration.
Is World War 3 Really Right Around the Corner?
Hussein Ibish via The Daily Beast

A regional Middle East war is more likely than a global confrontation, but even a relatively contained conflict could help upend the U.S.-led “rules-based order.”
AGSIW in Arabic
الولايات المتحدة وإيران تقتربان من حرب مرفوضة
هشام ملحم 

التحدي الذي ستواجهه الولايات المتحدة هو كيفية الموازنة بين ضربات عسكرية قوية تعيد للولايات المتحدة قوة الردع التي فقدتها، ولكن دون الانزلاق إلى حرب مع إيران
نيوم تتحول إلى وجهة الوجهات
روبرت موجيلنيكي 

إن جاذبية مدينة نيوم على المدى الطويل تعتمد، إلى حد كبير، على البيئة المحلية سريعة التغير داخل السعودية، ومع ذلك فإن الظروف الإقليمية الصعبة ستُبقي القائمين على المشروع في حالة استنفار
أربعة مؤشرات لمتابعة تقدم الإصلاحات في السعودية
تيم كالين 

ثمة تطورات إيجابية في أربعة مؤشرات خلال عام 2024 – نسبة مشاركة النساء في القوى العاملة، وتدفق السياح، وتدفقات الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر، والتحصيل التعليمي للطلبة - وهذه من شأنها أن تعطي الثقة بأن خطط التنويع الجريئة الجارية في السعودية تسير في الطريق الصحيح
Journal Article Discusses Saudi Arabia’s Nation Branding

The February 2 edition of the Iran Media Review examines Iranian commentary on Saudi Arabia’s efforts to change its international image.
Shargh Daily on Iran-Pakistan Crisis: “Stormy 72 Hours”

The January 30 edition of the Iran Media Review examines commentary on the future of Iran-Pakistan ties following recent tit-for-tat strikes between the two countries.

Subscribe to the Iran Media Review Recap.
Past Event
Oman: Reform Priorities to Create an Economy for the Future
 
On February 1, AGSIW hosted a discussion with Justin Alexander and Cesar Serra, moderated by Tim Callen, on Oman's economic and financial development.
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The Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington
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Washington, DC 20036

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