Gulf Arab States Don’t Want a U.S.-Iranian War, and Could Help Avoid One
Caught in the crossfire already, Gulf Arab countries have an important opportunity to help shape the off-ramp from confrontation.
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Gulf Arabs Caught between U.S. “Fire and Fury” and Iranian “Strategic Recklessness”
Saudi Arabia moves to consolidate Arab and Muslim support, anticipating intensified confrontation or diplomacy.
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Amid Saber-Rattling in the Crisis with Iran, Voices of Caution Emerge
While some urge confrontation, powerful voices of reason emerge.
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Tehran’s Strategy: Heroic Flexibility, Strategic Patience, or Active Resistance?
Iran's political factions appear to have their own distinct perceptions of the Trump administration’s Iran policy and try hard to take advantage of that policy in their factional struggle for power.
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Back to Zero: U.S. Scraps Iran Sanctions Waivers
The end to oil-import waivers comes just as OPEC and its allies were starting to enjoy the fruits of their oil production cut agreement, and the fallout from the policy to drive Iranian exports down to zero is already being felt in the volatile oil market.
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Looking to Elections, Supreme Leader Places Allies in Key Positions
Khamenei’s moves to consolidate his power have led to growing speculation in Iran that the position of its president – current or future – will be far less significant in how the country is led.
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As U.S. Sanctions Bite, Iran Flexes Diplomatic Muscles in Iraq and Syria
Rouhani's trip to Iraq and Assad's to Iran show that Tehran and its allies are determined to maintain alliances.
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More Tax and Fewer Petrodollars: Iran Prepares to Face Sanctions
The return of U.S. sanctions targeting Iran’s energy, banking, and shipping sectors is expected to put more pressure on the Iranian economy in 2019.
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Warsaw Ministerial Highlights Challenges Facing Anti-Iran Coalition
Western cohesion on Iran and Arab-Israeli cooperation both seem stalled as headaches mount for Tehran.
Political Succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran: The Rise of the Revolutionary Guards
The political dynamics during the transitions in Iran in 1979 and 1989 reveal a number of similar features that will play into who will succeed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei; what is new now is the role the IRGC is playing in the factional power struggle.
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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.
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