AGSIW Outlook 2021
AGSIW experts explain what regional trends they’ll be following most closely as the year unfolds.
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Prospects for Biden Administration Arms Sales to the Gulf: Revolution or Reversion to Norm?
Biden will likely put weapons sales to the Gulf on the back burner, but, at the end of the day, the administration’s positions on arms sales will reflect continuity, not change.
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Gulf Reconciliation Offers Uneven Economic Gains
Economic gains associated with the Gulf reconciliation will be narrow and limited, and any economic momentum should be channeled to tackle longer-term challenges in the region.
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With New Gulf Agreement, Will Qatar Change?
Why has Qatar so doggedly pursued policies that so often have such adverse repercussions on its relations with its closest neighbors?
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Saudi Arabia Delivers Shock to Market With Surprise Oil Output Cut
The new variant of the coronavirus, new lockdowns in several parts of the world, and the slower-than-expected rollout of the vaccine cast doubt on the timing of a recovery that would sustain higher production.
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Pressure Builds on Gulf Countries To Take Climate Action
In 2020, the coronavirus pandemic dealt a significant blow to global climate diplomacy, but the strengthening of a number of trends might signal more momentous changes to come.
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Qatar Boycott Ends, But Core Issues Remain Unresolved
Almost all sides are winners for now, but a third GCC confrontation remains possible.
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Sovereign Data: The Development and Marketing of Bahrain’s Digital Domain
Gulf Arab states like Bahrain cannot preserve the traditional form of their economies indefinitely, but they can influence how their new digital future will unfold.
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Strategic Interests Drive Gulf Policy Toward Syria
Many Gulf states have shifted course on Syria, prioritizing concerns over growing Iranian and Turkish influence.
Beijing Signals Growing Interest in Regional Conflict Management
China seeks to promote a harmonious relationship among its strategic partners in the Gulf in support of its economic interests.
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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.
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