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As the nuclear deal shows, the old order is changing

Is the United States really willing to use military action to stop Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon? Under Barack Obama that has been the oft-repeated US policy, but several developments allowed the question to fade into the background.

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Royal Reshuffle: Saudi Shakeup Consolidates King's Power

King Salman’s recent shakeup of the highest levels of government in Saudi Arabia has several clear and important themes.

Petro Diplomacy: The Political Economy of Volatile Oil Prices

This event focused on the recent dramatic fall in the price of oil, the motivations behind OPEC’s decision to maintain production levels, and the implications of low oil prices for shale producers, offshore drilling, and alternative energy development.

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Prospects for National Reconciliation in Bahrain: Is it Realistic?

The failure of state-led dialogue to deliver social peace reflects a broader polarization in Bahraini society, evident in sectarian divisions between and within opposition and loyalist groups.

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Anxious Allies: The Iran Nuclear Framework in its Regional Context

The framework agreement on Iran’s nuclear program achieved by the U.S.-led P5+1 international coalition in many ways goes further, and is significantly more detailed, than most observers had considered possible.

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Sultans of Swing? The Geopolitics of Falling Oil Prices

AGSIW Board member F. Gregory Gause, III discusses the geopolitical questions raised by the fall in oil prices in the Middle East in the new Brookings Doha Center report “The Sultans of Swing? The Geopolitics of Falling Oil Prices.” In the report, he predicts that the price decline will not destabilize oil-producing governments and will not lead to greater levels of regional conflict.

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Saudi Air Strikes in Yemen: When the Medium Is Not the Message

Along with the dozens of airstrikes Saudi Arabia has launched into Yemen since the start of its so-called “Operation Decisive Storm” a week ago, it also is delivering some very clear political messages.