Politics and Governance

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Redlines and Realpolitik: Saudi Arabia’s Diplomatic Test Ahead of Trump’s Visit

Trump’s trip to Saudi Arabia has the potential not only to reinforce the deep-rooted U.S.-Saudi alliance but also to expose the fault lines that could undermine future cooperation.

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Iran Eyes Russian Gas

Proposed Russian investments may come in handy as Iran attempts to develop its gas infrastructure, but international sanctions and geopolitics pose major problems.

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Supreme Oscillation: Khamenei’s Trump Strategy

Iran’s supreme leader is facing a strategic dilemma in how to pursue diplomacy with the United States and project strength amid internal fracturing and ambiguity.

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Gulf Mediation in the Ukraine Crisis

The role of Gulf Arab states in Russia-Ukraine mediation reflects their rising global influence and the benefits of hedging and balancing in foreign policy.

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How Russia's Middle East Strategy Threatens Gulf Security

Even if the Ukraine war comes to an end, the implications of Russia’s partnerships with Iran and the Houthis will last, and the consequences will be felt, first and foremost, in the Gulf.

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Yemen’s Weakest Link: The Presidential Leadership Council

To eliminate the Houthis' capabilities, the United States will need the support of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council, a body plagued by infighting and incompetence.

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Maximum Pressure, Minimum Options: Potential Pathways for Iran

The convergence of internal dysfunction and external pressure has renewed speculation regarding the Iranian regime’s downfall and scenarios for a political transformation.

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Amid Violence, Sanctions, and Negotiations, Syria’s Interim Government Struggles for Control

While recent violence and the failure to get sanctions lifted are huge challenges, the agreement with the Syrian Democratic Forces to integrate into state institutions helps Syria’s beleaguered interim government regain its footing.

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Russia’s Iran Gambit: Powering Civilian Growth or Fueling Military Expansion?

As Tehran and Moscow deepen their nuclear and space technology collaboration, concerns over dual-use applications and regional security implications grow.

Trade Tensions and Tariffs: IEA, EIA, and OPEC Slash Global Oil Demand Forecasts

Global demand forecasts by leading agencies have diverged sharply, reflecting a deepening sense of uncertainty about the future path of the global economy.

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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.

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