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The Ukraine Crisis and the Gulf

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has disrupted global energy markets and other aspects of Middle Eastern economies, with the long-term effects, particularly in the Gulf region, yet to be determined. AGSIW is closely following the implications of the Ukraine crisis on the Gulf Arab states and how Gulf governments are responding.

With Iran’s Drones, Russia Looks to Extend War and Costs to Ukraine – and the West

With Iran’s Drones, Russia Looks to Extend War and Costs to Ukraine – and the West

Ali Bakir and Fatih Ipek
Security topic in which the post is published
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Politics and Governance topic in which the post is published
How Has the Invasion of Ukraine Reshaped Russia’s Influence in the Middle East?

How Has the Invasion of Ukraine Reshaped Russia’s Influence in the Middle East?

August 4, 2022

On August 4, AGSIW, the University of Haifa, and the National Security Studies Center hosted a discussion examining Gulf-Russia relations since Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Energy topic in which the post is published
Could Iran Replace Russian Oil and Gas?
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Could Iran Replace Russian Oil and Gas?

Robin Mills

A revived nuclear deal with Iran would untangle some energy knots while tightening others.

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The Impact of the Ukraine War on Missile Diplomacy in the Middle East
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The Impact of the Ukraine War on Missile Diplomacy in the Middle East

Hanna Notte

Russian equivocation, U.S. distraction, and Gulf Arab states’ reliance on deterrence and defense will likely undermine prospects for addressing regional missile proliferation through diplomacy.

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The Ukraine Crisis Deepens Food Insecurity Across the Middle East and Africa
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The Ukraine Crisis Deepens Food Insecurity Across the Middle East and Africa

Anna L. Jacobs

Supply chain interruptions and rising food and fuel prices are hitting countries in the Middle East and Africa particularly hard, given the heavy reliance on Russian and Ukrainian staple food imports.

Energy topic in which the post is published
Following Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine, Can Gulf Countries Stabilize Energy Markets? 

Following Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine, Can Gulf Countries Stabilize Energy Markets? 

March 10, 2022

On March 10, AGSIW hosted a discussion examining the impact of the Ukraine crisis on global oil and gas markets and the direct effects on the Gulf region.

Energy topic in which the post is published
Consumers Hit Back at Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine as Oil Exports Diminish
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Consumers Hit Back at Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine as Oil Exports Diminish

Martin Young

The IEA’s release of over 60 million barrels of emergency oil stocks was the largest in IEA history. But there is increasing recognition of the need to coordinate such short-term measures with longer-term solutions.

Energy topic in which the post is published
Oil and Gas Prices Surge in Highly Volatile Market as Russia is Isolated
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Oil and Gas Prices Surge in Highly Volatile Market as Russia is Isolated

Kate Dourian

Should more countries follow the EU’s lead and step up efforts to seek alternative supplies of oil and gas, Russia could find itself out in the cold, whether it wins or loses the war against Ukraine.

Politics and Governance topic in which the post is published
Why U.S. Pressure was Needed to Get Israel and Gulf States to Condemn Russia
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Why U.S. Pressure was Needed to Get Israel and Gulf States to Condemn Russia

Hussein Ibish

Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE sought to protect ties with Moscow and strategic diversification but underestimated the cost.

Economy topic in which the post is published
What the Ukraine Crisis Means for Gulf Economies
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What the Ukraine Crisis Means for Gulf Economies

Li-Chen Sim

While the Gulf Arab states may wish to avoid getting caught in the middle of a “Russia versus the West” conflict, the Ukraine crisis is already affecting the region’s tourism, food, energy, and other economic sectors.

Security topic in which the post is published
Security, Energy, and Identity Dominate Gulf Positions on Ukraine
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Security, Energy, and Identity Dominate Gulf Positions on Ukraine

Robert Mason

The Russian invasion of Ukraine crystallizes existing Gulf policies and could form the backdrop to further regional polarization and instability.

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Russia’s Syria Intervention Paved the Way for Its Attack on Ukraine
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Russia’s Syria Intervention Paved the Way for Its Attack on Ukraine

Ambassador William Roebuck

Russia’s operations in Syria emboldened Putin and the Russian military to challenge the U.S.-led, rules-based international system that many countries, including in the Gulf, have benefited from.

Energy topic in which the post is published
The Ukraine Crisis is Vindicating Qatar’s Bold Gas Expansion Strategy
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The Ukraine Crisis is Vindicating Qatar’s Bold Gas Expansion Strategy

Justin Alexander

In the long term, Qatar could play a pivotal role in diversifying European gas imports away from Russia.

Security topic in which the post is published
Do Houthi Missile Attacks Outline the Limits of De-escalation in the Gulf Region?

Do Houthi Missile Attacks Outline the Limits of De-escalation in the Gulf Region?

March 1, 2022

On March 1, AGSIW hosted a discussion examining challenges and threats to regional de-escalation and rapprochement.

In Focus
Gulf Women Closing Ranks in Security and Diplomacy

Gulf Women Closing Ranks in Security and Diplomacy

Although the entry of women into the Gulf’s diplomatic and military ranks was slower than elsewhere, the region is in the midst of a sweeping transformation, largely due to top-down policies and social shifts.

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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.

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