Economy

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Aramco’s Latest Financial Results Suggest That Its Dividend Policy Is Unsustainable

Aramco is unlikely to be able to sustain its current dividend payout absent a strong rebound in oil revenue. A reduced dividend would have negative implications for the finances of the government and Public Investment Fund.

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Trump’s Commercial Influence in the Gulf

Whether or not former President Donald J. Trump wins the presidency for a second time, his commercial brand will remain a visible feature of the Gulf region.

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The U.S. Election and the Saudi Economy

The outcome of the U.S. presidential election is unlikely to have a major impact on the Saudi economy in 2025, but policy differences between the two candidates could have longer-term implications for the kingdom.

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The UAE’s Network-Based Vision for Economic Integration

The United Arab Emirates’ global trade and investment policy is providing an alternative vision to China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

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The Bread-and-Butter Issues of Jobs and Taxes in the Gulf

As Gulf governments accelerate domestic development agendas, local job creation and tax revenue are measurable indicators of successful economic policymaking.

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China’s Expanding Solar Footprint in the Gulf

The Chinese solar industry is strategically expanding into Gulf markets, leveraging the region’s immense solar potential while navigating the risks associated with intense competition and harsh environmental conditions.

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Growing Gulf Footprint in the South Caucasus

As new trade routes are emerging in Eurasia, Gulf states are increasingly looking to the transit and investment potential of the South Caucasus, particularly Azerbaijan and Georgia.

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Lower Oil Prices Challenge Saudi Fiscal Policy

The sharp decline in oil prices raises difficult questions for OPEC+ and, if sustained, will have important implications for Saudi Arabia’s fiscal policy.

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No Low-Hanging Fruit to Help Qatar With Its Food Security Challenges

Qatar is working to boost local food production while coping with daunting obstacles, including falling aquifer levels, a paucity of arable land, and broader climate-change issues.

Iran Meets Elon

While any U.S.-Iran rapprochement could potentially ease sanctions on Iran, such a shift is poised to generate sharply divergent responses among U.S. allies.

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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.

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