Economy

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The Bahraini Economy Might Benefit From Trump’s Tariffs

Bahrain’s free trade agreement with the United States might give Manama a golden opportunity to attract foreign capital and produce a diverse range of merchandise exports.

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Aramco’s Diversification Strategy: Fueling Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030

Aramco’s journey reflects not just the shift in Saudi energy policy but a broader reimagining of what national oil companies can achieve on the global stage.

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Tougher Sanctions on Iran May Help Other OPEC+ Producers

The global oil market will be challenging for OPEC+ members in 2025, although the likelihood of tougher sanctions on Iranian oil exports under the Trump administration may create space for production increases by other OPEC+ members.

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For Saudi Arabia, There’s a Dealmaking Opportunity With Trump

Trump’s unrealized quest to craft a major international agreement presents significant potential opportunities for Riyadh.

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Sanctions on Syria: Iran's Economic Gains and the Gulf-U.S. Divide

On Syria, the United States risks becoming increasingly out of step with its key allies, who have moved toward diplomatic engagement.

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Aramco’s Latest Financial Results Suggest That Its Dividend Policy Is Unsustainable

Aramco is unlikely to be able to sustain its current dividend payout absent a strong rebound in oil revenue. A reduced dividend would have negative implications for the finances of the government and Public Investment Fund.

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Trump’s Commercial Influence in the Gulf

Whether or not former President Donald J. Trump wins the presidency for a second time, his commercial brand will remain a visible feature of the Gulf region.

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The U.S. Election and the Saudi Economy

The outcome of the U.S. presidential election is unlikely to have a major impact on the Saudi economy in 2025, but policy differences between the two candidates could have longer-term implications for the kingdom.

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The UAE’s Network-Based Vision for Economic Integration

The United Arab Emirates’ global trade and investment policy is providing an alternative vision to China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

For the OPEC+ Oil Producers, a Year of Caution Paid Off

As 2024 comes to a close, oil markets remain under a cloud of uncertainty shaped by geopolitical risks, weaker-than-expected Chinese demand, and an evolving energy transition landscape.

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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.

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