India’s Balancing Act in the Middle East
Amid escalating tensions over the Gaza war, India is increasing engagement with varied actors in the Middle East.
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Becoming “Neutral”: Addressing the Increasing Stakes of Qatar’s Hamas Mediation
To adapt to the post-October 7 environment, Qatar may need to abandon some long-standing policies and reemerge as a truly neutral broker and mediator.
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The Inner Logic and Outer Limits of Post-Gaza Normalization
The underlying logic of normalizing ties with Israel remains intact for Gulf states. However, public anger, increased focus on the Palestinian issue, and the rising diplomatic price for Israel will impact the future of normalization.
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The Gulf Finds Its Voice on Gaza and Considers the Path Ahead
With a mix of condemnation, maneuver, and strategic calculation, Gulf countries are navigating the current crisis.
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Tactical Theatrics: Iranian Proxies and Allies Respond to the War in Gaza
Iran and its allies appear to be engaged in symbolic actions against Israeli and U.S. forces rather than openly provoking a war, but these theatrics still risk igniting a regional war all involved parties want to avoid.
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The Violence in Gaza: Arab Public Opinion Matters
Israel’s devastating war in Gaza may change the political dynamics not only in the Middle East but in the United States, too.
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The Hamas-Israel Conflict May Upend Saudi and U.S. Calculations
Washington and Riyadh will be watching the next steps before reassessing the potential for a triangular agreement with Israel.
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Bahrain Sets the Pace for Enhanced Gulf Security Cooperation With the United States
A recently signed security- and economy-focused pact marks the latest development in the United States’ close, long-standing partnership with Bahrain.
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Saudi Arabia’s New Strategy in Yemen: Border and Proxies
Saudi Arabia’s new, exit-focused strategy for Yemen implicitly weakens the country’s formal institutions and provides greater political leverage for the Houthis, imposing indirect costs that could undercut prospects for a broader U.N.-led Yemeni peace process.
The U.S. Prevented War, Yet Iran’s Strategic Decision-Making Process Remains Flawed
The crisis between Iran and Israel may be contained for now, but the breakdown in decision making that led to the end of Iran’s “strategic patience” carries risks going forward.
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Through its careful examination of the forces shaping the evolution of Gulf societies and the new generation of emerging leaders, AGSIW facilitates a richer understanding of the role the countries in this key geostrategic region can be expected to play in the 21st century.
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