Roundtable With Mohammed Baharoon
On October 16, AGSIW hosted a private roundtable with Mohammed Baharoon moderated by Ambassador William Roebuck on recent developments in the region.
Ambassador William Roebuck
Executive Vice President, AGSIW
Ambassador William “Bill” Roebuck is the executive vice president of the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington. He most recently served as the deputy special envoy to the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS and a senior advisor to the Special Representative for Syria Engagement Ambassador James Jeffrey. Prior to his appointment, Roebuck served as a senior advisor to Special Presidential Envoy Brett McGurk from January to December 2018.
Roebuck served as ambassador to Bahrain from 2015-17. He was appointed deputy assistant secretary for Maghreb Affairs in January 2013 and assumed additional responsibility for Egypt Affairs in January 2014. He served as Chargé d’Affaires in Tripoli, Libya from January to June 2013, earning the Ryan C. Crocker Award for Outstanding Leadership in Expeditionary Diplomacy. From September 2010 to December 2012, he served as director for the Office of Maghreb Affairs in the State Department’s Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs. Roebuck served as deputy political counselor at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad from July 2009 to August 2010, covering Iraq’s external relations and leading the embassy’s and the resident international community’s efforts to support the critical March 2010 national elections.
Roebuck served as the deputy office director for Arabian Peninsula Affairs from 2007-09. From 2004-07, he served as the political counselor at the U.S. Embassy in Damascus. In his last year of that assignment, Roebuck served as the acting deputy chief of mission. Prior to his assignment in Syria, he covered political issues in Gaza, while assigned to the U.S. Embassy in Tel Aviv from 2000-03. He served in Washington as staff assistant to the Assistant Secretary for Near Eastern Affairs from 1997-98.
Prior to joining the State Department, Roebuck worked as an English teacher and school administrator in Taif, Saudi Arabia from 1982-87. He served as a Peace Corps volunteer teaching English in Cote d’Ivoire from 1978-81.
Roebuck speaks French and Arabic. He hails from Rocky Mount, North Carolina and received his bachelor’s and master’s degrees in English literature from Wake Forest University in 1978 and 1981, respectively, and his law degree from the University of Georgia in 1992.
A Conversation With H.E. Shaikh Abdulla bin Ahmed Al Khalifa
On October 1, AGSIW hosted a private roundtable with H.E. Shaikh Abdulla bin Ahmed Al Khalifa, the undersecretary for political affairs of Bahrain's Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
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Has Gaza Created Structural Impediments to Normalization?
An elusive Gaza cease-fire, a potential collapse in viability of a two-state solution between Israel and the Palestinians, and ratcheting Israel-Hezbollah tensions are key obstacles to the resumption of normalization progress between Israel and Gulf states.
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Gaza Impact Creep: Is the Fight Against ISIL a Casualty?
The commander of the U.S. partner force in Syria says the Gaza war is damaging internal security and regional support in the fight against the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant.
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Bahrain and Iran Aim to Restore Ties
While regional dynamics support de-escalation between Bahrain and Iran, a host of obstacles and a potent history of bilateral grievances are likely to ensure anemic relations.
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AI, Advanced Technology the Focus of Tahnoun Visit
UAE National Security Advisor Tahnoun bin Zayed al-Nahyan’s recent visit to the United States underscores nascent U.S. success in persuading the UAE of the benefits of partnership and access to advanced technology and the risks of sticking with legacy Chinese tech partnerships.
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Gaza Heads Into Famine as Gulf Countries Scramble to Respond
With aid, public criticism, and diplomatic maneuver, Gulf countries are confronting Israel’s military action in Gaza and weighing how bad the situation could get.
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The Inner Logic and Outer Limits of Post-Gaza Normalization
The underlying logic of normalizing ties with Israel remains intact for Gulf states. However, public anger, increased focus on the Palestinian issue, and the rising diplomatic price for Israel will impact the future of normalization.
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AGSIW Outlook 2024: Gulf Transformations Amid Uncertainty
AGSIW experts explain the regional trends they’ll be following most closely as the year unfolds.
2024 Outlook
On January 9, AGSIW hosted a virtual roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they looked ahead and assessed trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year.
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The Gulf Finds Its Voice on Gaza and Considers the Path Ahead
With a mix of condemnation, maneuver, and strategic calculation, Gulf countries are navigating the current crisis.
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Bahrain Sets the Pace for Enhanced Gulf Security Cooperation With the United States
A recently signed security- and economy-focused pact marks the latest development in the United States’ close, long-standing partnership with Bahrain.
Is There a Case for Normalizing Relations With Assad?
On September 6, AGSIW hosted a discussion on the merits of Arab reengagement with the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
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Sudan Threatens to Become Next Big Conflict, for Its Neighbors and the Gulf
The risks of all-out civil war and state collapse are likely to sharpen the now swirling debates over risky external intervention, floundering democracy efforts, and confounding Russian influence.
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Saudi-Hosted Ukraine Event Ends Without Breakthrough but Still Irritates Absent Russia
Riyadh’s prominent role underscores its growing confidence on the world stage and its careful, pragmatic balancing of alliances and relations with key partners.
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As Iranian-Saudi Rivalry Eases, Regional Diplomacy Accelerates
Recent turbocharged diplomatic activity underscores growing Gulf confidence as countries in the region maneuver for influence and advantage and focus on their domestic economies.
Will an Upcoming Summit in Riyadh Cement Assad’s Return to the Arab Fold?
On May 4, AGSIW hosted a discussion on the normalization of ties between Syria and the Arab world.
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The Son Also Rises: The One-Year Anniversary of Mohammed bin Zayed’s Presidency
Balancing family and state-federal dynamics while staying in line with regional tendencies on succession, Mohammed bin Zayed names his son Khaled crown prince.
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Chronicle of a Normalization Foretold: Saudi Arabia and Syria Ease Toward Restoring Ties
Riyadh appears set to consolidate Arab consensus on Syria, raising further questions about U.S. regional influence.
What to Make of the Iranian-Saudi Rapprochement and China’s Role in It
On March 30, AGSIW hosted a discussion on the reestablishment of diplomatic ties between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
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China’s Saudi Arabia-Iran Mediation: An Important but Slender Achievement
China may be able to build on its breakthrough with more ambitious Gulf diplomacy, but, in the meantime, it appears Saudi Arabia and Iran are forging ahead on their own.
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Qatar Reshuffles Cabinet and Its Relations in the Gulf and Beyond
An immensely wealthy, pivotal energy supplier seeks to consolidate its regional position and retool its leadership ambitions.
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Why Don’t Gulf States Get With the Program on Ukraine and Syria?
Policy differences with the United States over Ukraine and Syria will continue as Gulf states’ strategic diversification and growing confidence in regional preeminence create a new Gulf norm for significant policy divergence, balanced by calculated security convergence.
Iranian Protests and Tehran’s Regional Role
On February 14, AGSIW hosted a discussion on Iran's regional relationships amid ongoing protests.
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Sultan Al Jaber’s COP28 Appointment Captures Key Climate Trends and Fault Lines
Beyond the criticism of environmental activists and praise of supporters, the appointment points to Gulf efforts to address the regional dilemma posed by climate change, highlights UAE exercise of soft power, and underscores U.S.-UAE cooperation.
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AGSIW Outlook 2023: Rapprochement, Competition, and Tensions
AGSIW experts explain the regional trends they’ll be following most closely as the year unfolds.
2023 Outlook
AGSIW hosted a virtual private roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they looked ahead and assessed trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy during the coming year.
UAE Security Forum 2022: Expanding Regional Partnerships for Security and Prosperity
AGSIW convened the 2022 UAE Security Forum on November 17, where U.S., UAE, and regional partners gathered to find creative solutions to some of the region’s most pressing challenges.
A Conversation With Ambassador Steven C. Bondy
On November 8, AGSIW hosted a virtual roundtable discussion with Steven C. Bondy, the U.S. ambassador to Bahrain.
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The Pope Goes to Bahrain
Pope Francis’ visit to Bahrain showcases the kingdom’s decadeslong effort to champion religious tolerance and interfaith dialogue while also providing critics with a high-profile occasion to question the sincerity of these government efforts and raise human rights concerns.
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In New York, Saudis Dust Off Their Plan for Peace With Israel
The Arab Peace Initiative provides important clues to Saudi foreign policy calculations, even as controversy over OPEC+ oil production cuts diverts attention to Saudi oil policy.
How Has the Invasion of Ukraine Reshaped Russia’s Influence in the Middle East?
On August 4, AGSIW, the University of Haifa, and the National Security Studies Center hosted a discussion examining Gulf-Russia relations since Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
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Libya Resumes Pumping Oil, but Political Crisis Drags On
U.N. diplomatic efforts on the ground keep a lid on the conflict, but the prospects for a roadmap to elections – and greater stability – remain dim.
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Bahrain Cabinet Reshuffle: Crown Prince and His Team Take Center Stage
Bahrainis, Omanis, and Kuwaitis use cabinet reshuffles for different ends: to signal efforts at regime consolidation, consolidation of a new leader’s control, or a royal maneuver to counter parliament.
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The Great Fraying: U.S. Signals Efforts to Repair Relations With Key Gulf Partners
Recent high-level U.S. diplomatic activity seems aimed at addressing a sense of grievance Gulf capitals harbor.
International and Regional Involvement in the Middle East
“International and Regional Involvement in the Middle East" is a bimonthly workshop series launched in September 2021, co-hosted by AGSIW and the University of Haifa.
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Mr. Erdogan Goes to Jeddah, With Brotherly, Neo-Ottoman Hat in Hand
The visit by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to Saudi Arabia underscores the continuing broader realignment among regional rivals.
A Conversation With Athol Yates
On April 27, AGSIW hosted a roundtable discussion with Athol Yates, a professor at the Institute for International and Civil Security at Khalifa University in Abu Dhabi.
The Role of the Business Community in U.S.-UAE Relations
On March 23, AmCham Abu Dhabi and AGSIW hosted a briefing on the role of the U.S. business community within the wider U.S.-UAE relationship.
Tending the U.S.-UAE Relationship in a Multipolar World
On March 23, Anwar Gargash Diplomatic Academy and AGSIW co-hosted the panel discussion “Tending the U.S.-UAE Relationship in a Multipolar World.”
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Russia’s Syria Intervention Paved the Way for Its Attack on Ukraine
Russia’s operations in Syria emboldened Putin and the Russian military to challenge the U.S.-led, rules-based international system that many countries, including in the Gulf, have benefited from.
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From Muscat to Hasaka and Idlib: Stalemate in Syria Belies All the Activity
The conflict in Syria has witnessed countless developments that seem to promise change and movement. But the tragic, stalemated realities reassert themselves each time.
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AGSIW Outlook: Trends and Developments That Will Shape the Gulf in 2022
AGSIW experts explain the regional trends they’ll be following most closely as the year unfolds.
2022 Outlook
AGSIW's leadership and scholars assessed trends likely to shape the Gulf region and U.S. foreign policy in 2022.
UAE Security Forum 2021: U.S.-Gulf Relations in a Changing Region
From December 7-9, UAESF 2021 assessed geopolitical trends in the region.
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Dancing on the Precipice: Kurdish General in Syria Weighs Turkish Threats, Gulf Outreach to Assad
General Mazloum Abdi expressed hope that the United States will use its presence in the ongoing fight against ISIL as leverage to push for a political solution for Syria.
Petro Diplomacy 2021: Gulf Countries in a Net-Zero World
For the seventh consecutive year, AGSIW convened its Petro Diplomacy conference.
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Abraham Accords: National Interests Enhance Prospects, One Year In
Conversations on the first anniversary with analysts and former senior U.S. diplomats point to the durability, usefulness, and limits of the Abraham Accords.
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Gulf Reengagement With Syria: Heading Into the Wall
Gulf countries are reassessing their relations with the Assad regime, but U.S. sanctions preventing investment and reconstruction will impede any true reintegration of Syria into the region.
The Future of OPEC+ and Saudi-UAE Relations
On July 8, AGSIW hosted a private briefing on the developing OPEC+ dispute and the repercussions for the future of the alliance as well as Saudi-UAE relations.
Reengaging Assad: What's Behind Arab Outreach to Syria?
On July 22, AGSIW hosted a discussion examining Gulf Arab reengagement with the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
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The Biden Team Eyes the Conflict in Syria Warily
The Biden team must assess whether it has the leverage and sufficient regional support if it wants to continue with the status quo in Syria.
A Conversation With H.E. Mohamed bin Mubarak Bin Daina, Special Envoy for Climate Affairs, Bahrain
On March 25, AGSIW hosted a conversation with H.E. Mohamed bin Mubarak Bin Daina to discuss climate-related challenges facing Bahrain and how the kingdom is mitigating these challenges.
2021 Outlook
AGSIW hosted a virtual private roundtable with its leadership and scholars as they looked ahead to assess trends likely to shape the Gulf region during the coming year.